{ "generated_at": "2026-10-23T01:06:22.555Z", "about": "Every figure on the Iran War Board, with its date and source. Official or named-primary sources only.", "rule": "Last official count only: the newest figure published by a government, the UN or another official body, with its own date. Unconfirmed reports and tracker-site totals are not shown.", "pages": { "ship_attacks": { "as_of": "2026-10-21", "since": "2026-03-01", "scope": "Strait of Hormuz and nearby waters (Gulf of Oman, Persian/Arabian Gulf)", "total": 94, "strait": 69, "nearby": 25, "nearby_breakdown": [ [ "Southern Arabian Gulf", 9 ], [ "Gulf of Oman", 8 ], [ "Northern Arabian Gulf", 4 ], [ "Persian Gulf", 2 ], [ "Central Arabian Gulf", 2 ] ], "by_month": [ [ "2026-03", 17 ], [ "2026-04", 6 ], [ "2026-05", 5 ], [ "2026-06", 4 ], [ "2026-07", 10 ], [ "2026-08", 12 ], [ "2026-09", 14 ], [ "2026-10", 26 ] ], "by_type": [ [ "Tanker", 49 ], [ "Container ship", 10 ], [ "Cargo ship", 7 ], [ "Bulk carrier", 6 ], [ "Tug", 2 ], [ "Not stated", 20 ] ], "sunk": { "count": 3, "as_of": "2026-10-14", "who": "IMO data, per CNN/Reuters", "latest": "Cape Dao (bulk carrier, sank Oct 14) and GFS Pride (container ship, sank Oct 13)", "names": [ "Cape Dao", "GFS Pride" ], "note": "CNN and Reuters, citing IMO casualty data: Cape Dao and GFS Pride are the second and third ships to sink since Feb 28 (three in total). Cape Dao was hit Sep 23 and sank weeks later (IMO; gCaptain); GFS Pride caught fire after being struck Oct 13 and sank (Singapore MPA confirmed; all 21 crew safe). The first sinking is not named in those reports; the UAE tug Mussafah 2 sank Mar 6 after a strike (reported by several outlets) but no source found ties it to the IMO count. GFS Pride's cause is disputed: IRGC says a mine, no independent evidence. No UKMTO warning reports a sinking." }, "other": { "damaged": "GFS Giselle damaged", "people": "2 sailors missing, a dozen+ injured (IMO)", "month": "More than 20 vessels, mostly tankers, attacked in October (UKMTO)" }, "latest": [ { "ref": "179-26", "date": "2026-10-21", "area": "Southern Arabian Gulf", "text": "Local Authorities have reported that a Tanker has been struck by an unknown projectile which started a fire which has been extinguished." }, { "ref": "177-26", "date": "2026-10-18", "area": "Southern Arabian Gulf", "text": "A tug travelling southbound has reported being struck by 2 unknown projectiles." }, { "ref": "175-26", "date": "2026-10-16", "area": "Southern Arabian Gulf", "text": "Tanker attacked by an RPG from a small boat; damage to the aft port quarter." }, { "ref": "174-26", "date": "2026-10-16", "area": "Southern Arabian Gulf", "text": "Tanker struck by an unknown projectile, 68 NM north-east of Al Jubayl, Saudi Arabia." }, { "ref": "173-26", "date": "2026-10-14", "area": "Strait", "text": "19,000-tonne container ship struck by an unknown projectile, outbound. Minor damage, no casualties, continued." }, { "ref": "172-26", "date": "2026-10-14", "area": "Strait", "text": "50,000-tonne container ship struck by an unknown projectile, inbound. Minor damage, no casualties." }, { "ref": "171-26", "date": "2026-10-13", "area": "Strait", "text": "Tanker struck by an unknown projectile." }, { "ref": "170-26", "date": "2026-10-13", "area": "Strait", "text": "Container ship struck by an unknown projectile." } ], "method": "Counts UKMTO warnings classed 'Attack' whose text describes a strike (projectile, drone, missile, explosion or hit), dated by report date, Mar 1 to Oct 14. UKMTO does not name vessels, so this counts reports, not unique ships. Hand-counted from the public UKMTO warnings archive.", "src": "https://www.ukmto.org/ukmto-products/warnings/2026", "verified": "primary", "sunk_verified": "secondary-two-sources", "last_ref": 180, "checked_at": "2026-10-23T01:06:00.834Z" }, "casualties_and_damage": { "rule": "Last official count only: the newest figure published by a government, the UN or another official body, with its own date. Unconfirmed reports and tracker-site totals are not shown.", "checked": "2026-10-22", "seafarers": [ { "k": "Mussafah 2 (tug), Mar 6", "v": "4 killed, 3 seriously injured", "src": "IMO" }, { "k": "Cape Dao (bulk carrier), hit Sep 23", "v": "1 killed", "src": "IMO" }, { "k": "Mayuree Naree (bulk carrier), Mar 11", "v": "3 missing, 20 rescued", "src": "Thai authorities" }, { "k": "GFS Pride (container ship), Oct 13", "v": "all 21 crew evacuated", "src": "Singapore MPA" }, { "k": "Oct 2026, across attacks", "v": "2 sailors missing, a dozen+ injured", "src": "IMO, via CNBC" } ], "iran": { "killed": 3375, "injured": 33000, "label": "civilians killed", "children": 383, "as_of": "Apr 10", "src": "UN OCHA update 05 (May 31), from Iran's Health Ministry", "later": "From late June: at least 60 more killed, 670 injured (Iranian health authorities, via UN, Jul 27)", "independent": "Independent monitor HRANA counted 1,701 civilians among 3,636 dead (Apr 7)", "note": "Minab school strike, day 1: 156 killed incl. 120 schoolchildren (local prosecutor; Amnesty, HRW, UN)" }, "israel": { "killed": 33, "injured": 7791, "injured_label": "admitted to hospital", "as_of": "Apr 7 (deaths)", "src": "Israel Health Ministry; deaths per Israeli authorities", "note": "Hospital admissions include the Hezbollah front; the ministry's date for the 7,791 total is not shown in the report found" }, "gulf": [ { "c": "UAE", "killed": "15", "injured": "230+", "as_of": "May 10", "src": "UAE news agency WAM", "extra": "2 military, 1 contractor, 12 civilians; injured reported as 230 to 246" }, { "c": "Saudi Arabia", "killed": "13", "injured": "320", "as_of": "Oct 11", "src": "Saudi civil aviation authority", "extra": "Riyadh airport: 12 dead, 309 hurt on Oct 10, then 1 dead, 11 hurt on Oct 11. The Saudi-led coalition blamed the Houthis. Earlier, Mar 9: 2 killed, 12 hurt (Saudi government)" }, { "c": "Kuwait", "killed": "5", "injured": "71", "as_of": "Mar 8", "src": "Kuwait briefing and interior ministry", "extra": "Jun 3 airport drone strike: 1 killed, 63 wounded (Defence Ministry)" }, { "c": "Bahrain", "killed": "2", "injured": "51", "as_of": "Jun 11", "src": "Bahrain government figures", "extra": "", "reported": true }, { "c": "Qatar", "killed": "1", "injured": "21", "as_of": "Jun 28", "src": "Qatar Interior Ministry, via Reuters", "extra": "", "reported": true }, { "c": "Oman", "killed": "2", "injured": "11", "as_of": "Mar", "src": "Oman Interior Ministry", "extra": "Sohar warehouse drone strike only", "reported": true } ], "strikes": [ { "v": "13,000+", "k": "targets struck in Iran, about 10,000 air missions", "src": "Gen. Caine, Pentagon, Apr 8" }, { "v": "300+", "k": "more targets in three nights of July strikes", "src": "CENTCOM, Jul 11" }, { "v": "138", "k": "commercial vessels redirected by US forces under the blockade (Oct 5: 13 destroyed, 130 turned back)", "src": "CENTCOM, Oct 17" }, { "v": "2,800+", "k": "missiles and drones intercepted over the UAE alone", "src": "UAE news agency WAM, May 10" } ], "damage": [ { "v": "149,528", "k": "civilian buildings and units damaged in Iran", "src": "Iranian Red Crescent, via UN OCHA" }, { "v": "7,645+", "k": "buildings with confirmed structural damage (satellite)", "src": "Oregon State University" }, { "v": "1,507", "k": "schools affected in Iran", "src": "UN OCHA" } ], "gaps": "No official bomb tonnage has been published. Several governments have not updated their casualty counts since spring." }, "people_prices_economy_and_travel": { "checked": "2026-10-22", "rule": "Official or named-primary figures only, each with its own date. Where only press coverage of an official figure could be read, the row says so.", "displaced": { "lebanon": { "idps": 329686, "returned": 877203, "as_of": "Sep 29", "src": "IOM Displacement Tracking Matrix, round 118", "earlier": "704,445 were displaced on Jun 24 (round 105)" }, "iran": { "text": "up to 3.2 million", "as_of": "Mar 12", "src": "UNHCR, preliminary estimate of people temporarily displaced inside Iran", "note": "Not updated since; internet blackouts limit counting" } }, "economy": { "imf": { "global_growth": 3.1, "inflation": 4.7, "mec": -0.3, "mec_april": 1.9, "as_of": "Oct 13", "countries": [ [ "Kuwait", -16.7 ], [ "Iraq", -16 ], [ "Qatar", -15.6 ], [ "Bahrain", -11.3 ], [ "Iran", -7.6 ], [ "Saudi Arabia", -3.3 ] ], "src": "IMF World Economic Outlook, October 2026", "note": "Forecasts, not measurements. Global figures are from the IMF briefing; country figures as reported by Al Jazeera citing the IMF. The IMF names Hormuz shipping disruption as the cause of the Middle East downgrade." }, "fao": { "index": 136, "month_pct": 1.5, "year_pct": 5.8, "cereals_month_pct": 5.1, "cereals_year_pct": 17.2, "as_of": "Sep (released Oct 2)", "src": "UN FAO Food Price Index", "note": "FAO's chief economist links the rise to disruption in the Strait of Hormuz and the Black Sea, plus weather." } }, "insurance": { "now": "7.5% to 10%", "before": "1% to 3% a few weeks earlier", "unit": "of a ship’s value, per transit of the Strait", "as_of": "Jul 22", "src": "Marsh (insurance broker), reported by S&P Global", "note": "No newer figure from a named broker found. October press reports put it at 5% to 9%." }, "travel": [ { "c": "Iran", "t": "advises against all travel", "d": "Aug 13" }, { "c": "Iraq", "t": "against all or all but essential travel to parts", "d": "Jul 22" }, { "c": "Saudi Arabia", "t": "against all but essential travel to the rest of Saudi Arabia; against all travel within 10km of the Yemen border; heightened threat for airports/military sites/ports/energy infrastructure at Riyadh, Jeddah, Dammam, Yanbu, Abha, Jizan and Najran (plus Red Sea shipping); King Khalid International Airport (Riyadh), struck Oct 10, continues to be targeted and remains at risk — FCDO recommends travelling by land to a neighbouring country to fly out", "d": "Oct 21" }, { "c": "Kuwait", "t": "no longer advises against all but essential travel", "d": "Aug 20" }, { "c": "UAE", "t": "no ban; warns of attacks and airspace closures", "d": "Jul 24" }, { "c": "Qatar", "t": "no ban; warns of attacks and airspace closures", "d": "Aug 19" }, { "c": "Bahrain", "t": "no ban; warns of attacks and airspace closures", "d": "Oct 8" }, { "c": "Oman", "t": "no ban; warns of attacks and airspace closures", "d": "Jul 22" } ], "travel_src": "UK Foreign Office travel advice, read Oct 16 (US State Department site blocks automated reading)", "airspace": "EASA conflict-zone bulletins in force to Nov 16: Persian Gulf and Gulf of Oman (revised Sep 30), Saudi Arabia (Oct 9), Iran, Iraq, Lebanon (Sep 30), Jordan (Oct 14). Source: EASA.", "timeline": [ { "d": "Feb 28", "t": "US and Israel begin strikes on Iran", "s": "US government" }, { "d": "Apr 7", "t": "Two-week ceasefire announced", "s": "Trump; Pakistan PM" }, { "d": "Apr 13", "t": "US blockade of Iranian ports begins", "s": "CENTCOM" }, { "d": "Jun 17-18", "t": "Islamabad Memorandum signed; blockade lifted", "s": "CENTCOM; Iran Foreign Ministry" }, { "d": "Jul 7-8", "t": "Tankers hit in Hormuz; US strikes resume", "s": "CENTCOM" }, { "d": "Jul 14", "t": "US blockade resumes", "s": "CENTCOM, Jul 13 release" }, { "d": "Oct 10-11", "t": "Riyadh airport struck: 13 dead, 320 hurt", "s": "Saudi civil aviation authority" }, { "d": "Oct 13-14", "t": "Two ships sink near Hormuz", "s": "IMO; Singapore MPA" } ] }, "energy_and_status": { "checked": "2026-10-22", "rule": "Official or named-primary figures only, each with its own date. Where only press coverage of an official or market figure could be read, the row says so.", "iea": { "src": "IEA Oil Market Report, October 2026 (the IEA site blocks automated reading; figures from its published summary)", "rows": [ { "k": "Oil through the Strait, Sep", "v": "10.9m b/d", "d": "about half the pre-war flow; Aug was 7.6m, 13.1m below pre-war" }, { "k": "Bypass pipelines, Sep", "v": "5.6m b/d", "d": "routes that avoid the Strait" }, { "k": "Gulf crude exports, Sep", "v": "13.9m b/d", "d": "over 75% of the pre-war level" }, { "k": "World oil supply, Sep", "v": "102.3m b/d", "d": "up 2.5m on August; 2026 average down 5.8m b/d" }, { "k": "Emergency stocks released", "v": "~330m barrels", "d": "since March; about 100m more being speeded up, 20m+ of it diesel" } ], "note": "IEA warns the diesel shortage could last well into 2027. b/d = barrels a day." }, "lng": { "rows": [ { "k": "Qatar LNG force majeure", "v": "to Dec", "d": "QatarEnergy told buyers cargoes to Asia and Europe stay cancelled through November and early December" }, { "k": "Export capacity knocked out", "v": "~17%", "d": "by Iranian missile strikes in March; repairs may take years" }, { "k": "Gas flows through Hormuz", "v": "75%+ below", "d": "pre-war level, early October (Kpler)" }, { "k": "Qatar October exports", "v": "~0.6m t", "d": "tracking sharply lower (Kpler)" } ], "src": "QatarEnergy notices as reported by Bloomberg and The National, Sep 28; shipping data from Kpler, via Reuters-based reports", "note": "Shipment figures are from a commercial tracker, not an official statistic." }, "freight": { "index": 4485, "change": 3, "as_of": "Oct 15", "routes": [ [ "Shanghai to Rotterdam", 3522, 6 ], [ "Shanghai to Genoa", 3945, 7 ], [ "Shanghai to Los Angeles", 7884, 3 ], [ "Shanghai to New York", 10075, -1 ] ], "src": "Drewry World Container Index, per 40-foot container", "note": "Drewry has no Gulf lane and does not tie this week to Hormuz. Shown as a general shipping-cost gauge." }, "status": [ { "d": "Oct 17", "t": "CENTCOM: 138 commercial vessels redirected under the US blockade, as of Oct 17", "s": "CENTCOM" }, { "d": "Oct 16", "t": "CENTCOM commander: at least $25 billion of Iranian oil exports blocked by the US naval blockade", "s": "CENTCOM, as reported" }, { "d": "Oct 15", "t": "CENTCOM rejects Iran’s claims it controls Hormuz and that a ship hit a mine", "s": "CENTCOM" }, { "d": "Oct 14", "t": "Pakistan’s president urges both sides to honour the Islamabad memorandum", "s": "Pakistan" }, { "d": "Oct 12", "t": "Iran says it is reviewing the latest US proposal and will reply through mediators", "s": "Iran Foreign Ministry" } ], "status_note": "The Islamabad memorandum (signed Jun 17-18): the US president indicated on Jul 8 that it was over; Iran said on Oct 12 it wants to return to it. Dates and statements as reported." } }, "live": { "us_casualties_dcas": { "as_of": "2026-10-21", "deaths": 21, "hostile": 11, "nonhostile": 10, "wounded": 865, "categories": [ { "code": "oefu", "hostile": 7, "nonhostile": 8, "deaths": 15, "wounded": 417, "as_of": "2026-10-21", "label": "Operation Epic Fury", "since": "2026-02-28" }, { "code": "oo", "hostile": 4, "nonhostile": 2, "deaths": 6, "wounded": 448, "as_of": "2026-10-21", "label": "Overseas Operations", "since": "2026-07-07" } ], "src": "https://dcas.dmdc.osd.mil/dcas/conflictCasualties/oefu/byCategory", "note": "DCAS, the Pentagon’s own count. Deaths include non-hostile; wounded is wounded in action only. DCAS has lagged: its Oct 9 update added two earlier deaths." }, "hormuz": { "as_of": "2026-10-18", "last7_per_day": 3.7142857142857144, "baseline_per_day": 68.05172413793103 }, "us_gas_by_state": { "as_of": "2026-10-22", "count": 51, "high": [ { "state": "California", "regular": 6.0816, "diesel": 8.4854 }, { "state": "Hawaii", "regular": 5.6483, "diesel": 7.2757 }, { "state": "Washington", "regular": 5.3421, "diesel": 7.3098 }, { "state": "Nevada", "regular": 5.3384, "diesel": 6.8602 }, { "state": "Oregon", "regular": 4.9026, "diesel": 6.7447 } ], "low": [ { "state": "North Carolina", "regular": 3.5508, "diesel": 5.5858 }, { "state": "Georgia", "regular": 3.703, "diesel": 5.741 }, { "state": "Texas", "regular": 3.7611, "diesel": 5.7656 }, { "state": "Tennessee", "regular": 3.8239, "diesel": 5.9725 }, { "state": "Louisiana", "regular": 3.832, "diesel": 5.8082 } ], "all": [ { "state": "California", "regular": 6.0816 }, { "state": "Hawaii", "regular": 5.6483 }, { "state": "Washington", "regular": 5.3421 }, { "state": "Nevada", "regular": 5.3384 }, { "state": "Oregon", "regular": 4.9026 }, { "state": "Alaska", "regular": 4.8859 }, { "state": "Idaho", "regular": 4.7452 }, { "state": "Utah", "regular": 4.7273 }, { "state": "Illinois", "regular": 4.6697 }, { "state": "Michigan", "regular": 4.6062 }, { "state": "Arizona", "regular": 4.5562 }, { "state": "Pennsylvania", "regular": 4.4772 }, { "state": "Wyoming", "regular": 4.4493 }, { "state": "Montana", "regular": 4.4391 }, { "state": "New York", "regular": 4.4041 }, { "state": "District of Columbia", "regular": 4.3838 }, { "state": "Vermont", "regular": 4.3692 }, { "state": "Nebraska", "regular": 4.3539 }, { "state": "Connecticut", "regular": 4.3261 }, { "state": "Maine", "regular": 4.3201 }, { "state": "New Mexico", "regular": 4.2896 }, { "state": "Colorado", "regular": 4.2686 }, { "state": "South Dakota", "regular": 4.2504 }, { "state": "Massachusetts", "regular": 4.243 }, { "state": "New Hampshire", "regular": 4.2324 }, { "state": "West Virginia", "regular": 4.2298 }, { "state": "Wisconsin", "regular": 4.2174 }, { "state": "Minnesota", "regular": 4.214 }, { "state": "New Jersey", "regular": 4.2044 }, { "state": "Rhode Island", "regular": 4.1832 }, { "state": "North Dakota", "regular": 4.1298 }, { "state": "Iowa", "regular": 4.1162 }, { "state": "Virginia", "regular": 4.1075 }, { "state": "Ohio", "regular": 4.0785 }, { "state": "Florida", "regular": 4.057 }, { "state": "Maryland", "regular": 4.0507 }, { "state": "Delaware", "regular": 3.9777 }, { "state": "Kentucky", "regular": 3.9657 }, { "state": "Kansas", "regular": 3.964 }, { "state": "Oklahoma", "regular": 3.9512 }, { "state": "Missouri", "regular": 3.9511 }, { "state": "Arkansas", "regular": 3.8819 }, { "state": "Indiana", "regular": 3.8793 }, { "state": "Mississippi", "regular": 3.8672 }, { "state": "Alabama", "regular": 3.8626 }, { "state": "South Carolina", "regular": 3.8465 }, { "state": "Louisiana", "regular": 3.832 }, { "state": "Tennessee", "regular": 3.8239 }, { "state": "Texas", "regular": 3.7611 }, { "state": "Georgia", "regular": 3.703 }, { "state": "North Carolina", "regular": 3.5508 } ], "src": "AAA state averages, regular unleaded" }, "brent": { "value": 115.22, "as_of": "2026-10-20" } } }